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Is Life Insurance Corporation of India overvalued?

A valuation of Life Insurance Corporation of India (LICI) built from its filed accounts — ten years of results, the method that fits this business, and what today's price already assumes.

The short answer

Life Insurance Corporation of India cannot be judged the way other companies are.

Most of what Life Insurance Corporation of India is worth sits in policies it has already sold, which pay out over the next few decades. That does not show up in a normal profit figure, so comparing today's price against reported earnings — the way you would for a bank or a carmaker — gives a misleading answer. It is valued on the policies in force instead.

Price
₹393
Market cap
₹4.98L Cr
P/E
8.7
P/B
2.81
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Ten years, in charts

Revenue and earnings per share in ₹, return on equity and leverage as ratios — all from the filed statements.

Revenue₹5.72L → ₹9.78L Cr
1920212223242526
Earnings per share₹3.3 → ₹45.4
2223242526
Return on equity271.5% → 37.8%
20212223242526
Debt to equity332.59 → 0.00
1920212223242526

The numbers behind them

Revenue and net profit as filed, in ₹ crore.

YearRevenueNet profitMargin
Mar 20195,71,5082,6270.5%
Mar 20206,28,0432,7100.4%
Mar 20216,90,9142,9740.4%
Mar 20227,23,6064,1250.6%
Mar 20237,84,62835,9974.6%
Mar 20248,45,96640,9164.8%
Mar 20258,89,97048,3205.4%
Mar 20269,77,77257,4535.9%

How this company gets valued — and why

A life insurer is not valued on its reported profit. Most of its worth sits in policies already sold, which will pay out over decades — and writing new business actually reduces this year's reported profit while creating value that lasts. It is valued on embedded value plus the value of new business instead, which is the measure the industry itself uses.

Embedded value — the correct lens for a life insurer

The complete valuation

Model value per share
₹0,000
Upside
+00%
Call
XXXX

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Compare with peers

The same valuation, run side by side.

Life Insurance Corporation of India vs HDFC LifeBoth life insurers, one state-owned and one private.Life Insurance Corporation of India vs SBI LifeThe bank-backed private comparison on the same measures.Life Insurance Corporation of India vs ICICI Prudential LifeA third private life insurer, on a smaller book.

Frequently asked

What is the intrinsic value of Life Insurance Corporation of India?

It is computed from the filed financial statements using the method that fits this business (embedded value), with every assumption shown alongside the result. The per-share figure and the full working are in the report.

Why is Life Insurance Corporation of India trading at this valuation?

A price-to-earnings of 8.7 and price-to-book of 2.81 sit against a return on equity of 37.8%. Whether that multiple is deserved depends on how durable the return is — which is exactly what the valuation tests.

Is Life Insurance Corporation of India a good long-term investment?

Revenue went from ₹5.72 lakh crore to ₹9.78 lakh crore over the period shown, while return on equity moved from 271.5% to 37.8%. Growing scale on a rising return is a very different proposition from growing scale on a falling one.

Is Life Insurance Corporation of India a dividend stock?

The dividend yield is 2.54%, which is a meaningful part of the total return.

How much debt does Life Insurance Corporation of India carry?

Debt to equity stands at 0.00, down from 332.59 at the start of the period — the balance sheet is a core input to the cost of capital used here.

How does FairStocks calculate fair value?

From published financial statements. The method is chosen to fit the business — a bank on excess return, a regulated utility on its rate base, a conglomerate by its parts — and every assumption is shown with its source. When the numbers do not support an estimate, no estimate is published. This is an educational research tool: it reports what the model computed and does not recommend buying or selling anything.

What assumptions are used to value Life Insurance Corporation of India?

A cost of capital of 11.13%, growth drawn from the company's own record rather than from guidance, and the valuation method that fits the business. All of them are listed in the report, with how much each one moves the answer.