The fair value of SBI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY (SBILIFE), built from its filed accounts — ten years of results, the method that fits this business, and what today's price already assumes.
The market expects much less from SBI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY than it has delivered before.
At today’s share price, buyers are paying about 12.8× the embedded value of the new business SBI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY writes. The model values the new policies SBI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY is writing at about 25× their embedded value. That is a big step down from its own record. Either the market can see a problem that the published accounts do not show yet, or it is expecting a slowdown that has not happened.
Worked backwards from today's share price: the new-business multiple today’s price implies for SBI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, against what the model assumes.
How to read this. The number on the left is the new-business multiple today’s share price quietly takes for granted. The number on the right is what the model actually assumes. When the two are far apart, that gap is the bet you would be taking.
Revenue and net profit as filed, in ₹ crore.
| Year | Revenue | Net profit | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 1,17,119 | 2,413 | 2.1% |
| FY2026 | 1,12,966 | 2,470 | 2.2% |
A life insurer is not valued on its reported profit. Most of its worth sits in policies already sold, which will pay out over decades — and writing new business actually reduces this year's reported profit while creating value that lasts. It is valued on embedded value plus the value of new business instead, which is the measure the industry itself uses.
Embedded value — the correct lens for a life insurerUnderstand this method
The same valuation, run side by side.
SBI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY vs HDFC LifeThe two largest private life insurers, on embedded value.→SBI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY vs LICPrivate against the state-owned incumbent, same measures.→SBI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY vs State Bank of IndiaBoth carry the State Bank name on very different balance sheets.→At ₹1,654 the market is pricing in roughly 12.8% sustained VNB, against the ~25.0% its own record supports. That is less than it has delivered — on these numbers the market is asking the business for less than its own record, which usually means it doubts the record repeats.
It is computed from the filed financial statements using the method that fits this business (embedded value), with every assumption shown alongside the result. The per-share figure and the full working are in the report.
From published financial statements. The method is chosen to fit the business — a bank on excess return, a regulated utility on its rate base, a conglomerate by its parts — and every assumption is shown with its source. When the numbers do not support an estimate, no estimate is published. This is an educational research tool: it reports what the model computed and does not recommend buying or selling anything.
A cost of capital of 11.05%, growth drawn from the company's own record rather than from guidance, and the valuation method that fits the business. All of them are listed in the report, with how much each one moves the answer.