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APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE fair value — is it overvalued?

The fair value of APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE (APOLLOHOSP), built from its filed accounts — ten years of results, the method that fits this business, and what today's price already assumes.

APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE (APOLLOHOSP) fair value — is it overvalued? Price ₹8,714, P/E 60.0, P/B 13.22, ROE —. Based on 10 years of reported financials. FairStocks.
The short answer

The market expects APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE to do better than it ever has.

At today’s share price, buyers are assuming APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE grows about 22% a year, forever. Over the last ten years it actually grew about 16% a year. So the share price only makes sense if the business improves on its own track record. If it simply carries on as before, buyers today have paid for something they will not get.

Price
₹8,714
Market cap
₹1.25L Cr
P/E
60.0
P/B
13.22
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What the market is assuming

Worked backwards from today's share price: the growth today’s price implies for APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE, against what the model assumes.

Market expects
22%
growth priced into today’s price
Model assumes
16%
growth the model assumes

How to read this. The number on the left is the growth today’s share price quietly takes for granted. The number on the right is what the model actually assumes. When the two are far apart, that gap is the bet you would be taking.

Ten years, in charts

Revenue and earnings per share in ₹, return on equity and leverage as ratios — all from the filed statements.

Revenue₹0.08L → ₹0.25L Cr
181920212223242526
Earnings per share₹8.4 → ₹135.0
181920212223242526
Return on equity6.2% → 22.8%
1920212223242526
Debt to equity0.32 → 0.26
232526

The numbers behind them

Revenue and net profit as filed, in ₹ crore.

YearRevenueNet profitMargin
FY20188,243600.7%
FY20199,6172002.1%
FY202011,2474323.8%
FY202110,5601371.3%
FY202214,6631,1087.6%
FY202316,6128455.1%
FY202419,0599354.9%
FY202521,7941,5056.9%
FY202625,2282,0037.9%

How this company gets valued — and why

This business is valued on the cash it is expected to generate, discounted back at its cost of capital — with growth taken from its own ten-year record rather than from guidance.

Discounted cash flow

Understand this method

The complete valuation

Model value per share
₹0,000
Upside
+00%
Call
XXXX

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Compare with peers

The same valuation, run side by side.

APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE vs Sun PharmaDelivering healthcare against manufacturing the medicine.APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE vs CiplaHospitals and pharmacies against a drug maker.APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE vs Max HealthcareThe nearest listed hospital-chain comparison.

Frequently asked

Is APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE overvalued?

At ₹8,714 the market is pricing in roughly 22% sustained growth, against the ~16% its own record supports. That is more than it has delivered, so the price is justified only if the business can hold a rate it has not previously sustained.

What is the intrinsic value of APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE?

It is computed from the filed financial statements using the method that fits this business (discounted cash flow), with every assumption shown alongside the result. The per-share figure and the full working are in the report.

Is APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE a good long-term investment?

Revenue went from ₹0.08 lakh crore to ₹0.25 lakh crore over the period shown, while return on equity moved from 6.2% to 22.8%. Growing scale on a rising return is a very different proposition from growing scale on a falling one.

How much debt does APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE carry?

Debt to equity stands at 0.26, down from 0.32 at the start of the period — the balance sheet is a core input to the cost of capital used here.

How does FairStocks calculate fair value?

From published financial statements. The method is chosen to fit the business — a bank on excess return, a regulated utility on its rate base, a conglomerate by its parts — and every assumption is shown with its source. When the numbers do not support an estimate, no estimate is published. This is an educational research tool: it reports what the model computed and does not recommend buying or selling anything.

What assumptions are used to value APOLLO HOSPITALS ENTERPRISE?

A cost of capital of 9.38%, growth drawn from the company's own record rather than from guidance, and the valuation method that fits the business. All of them are listed in the report, with how much each one moves the answer.