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GLAND PHARMA fair value — is it overvalued?

The fair value of GLAND PHARMA (GLAND), built from its filed accounts — ten years of results, the method that fits this business, and what today's price already assumes.

GLAND PHARMA (GLAND) fair value — is it overvalued? Price ₹2,896, P/E 42.3, P/B 4.61, ROE —. Based on 10 years of reported financials. FairStocks.
The short answer

The market expects much less from GLAND PHARMA than it has delivered before.

At today’s share price, buyers are assuming GLAND PHARMA grows about 8% a year, forever. Over the last ten years it actually grew about 12% a year. That is a big step down from its own record. Either the market can see a problem that the published accounts do not show yet, or it is expecting a slowdown that has not happened.

Price
₹2,896
Market cap
₹0.48L Cr
P/E
42.3
P/B
4.61
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What the market is assuming

Worked backwards from today's share price: the growth today’s price implies for GLAND PHARMA, against what the model assumes.

Market expects
8%
growth priced into today’s price
Model assumes
12%
growth the model assumes

How to read this. The number on the left is the growth today’s share price quietly takes for granted. The number on the right is what the model actually assumes. When the two are far apart, that gap is the bet you would be taking.

Ten years, in charts

Revenue and earnings per share in ₹, return on equity and leverage as ratios — all from the filed statements.

Revenue₹0.03L → ₹0.06L Cr
212223242526
Earnings per share₹63.1 → ₹62.4
212223242526
Return on equity18.6% → 10.5%
2223242526
Debt to equity0.00 → 0.01
23242526

The numbers behind them

Revenue and net profit as filed, in ₹ crore.

YearRevenueNet profitMargin
FY20213,46399728.8%
FY20224,4011,21227.5%
FY20233,62578121.5%
FY20245,66577213.6%
FY20255,61669912.4%
FY20266,4311,02716.0%

How this company gets valued — and why

This business is valued on the cash it is expected to generate, discounted back at its cost of capital — with growth taken from its own ten-year record rather than from guidance.

Discounted cash flow

Understand this method

The complete valuation

Model value per share
₹0,000
Upside
+00%
Call
XXXX

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Frequently asked

Is GLAND PHARMA overvalued?

At ₹2,896 the market is pricing in roughly 8% sustained growth, against the ~12% its own record supports. That is less than it has delivered — on these numbers the market is asking the business for less than its own record, which usually means it doubts the record repeats.

What is the intrinsic value of GLAND PHARMA?

It is computed from the filed financial statements using the method that fits this business (discounted cash flow), with every assumption shown alongside the result. The per-share figure and the full working are in the report.

Is GLAND PHARMA a good long-term investment?

Revenue went from ₹0.03 lakh crore to ₹0.06 lakh crore over the period shown, while return on equity moved from 18.6% to 10.5%. Growing scale on a rising return is a very different proposition from growing scale on a falling one.

How much debt does GLAND PHARMA carry?

Debt to equity stands at 0.01, against 0.00 at the start of the period — the balance sheet is a core input to the cost of capital used here.

How does FairStocks calculate fair value?

From published financial statements. The method is chosen to fit the business — a bank on excess return, a regulated utility on its rate base, a conglomerate by its parts — and every assumption is shown with its source. When the numbers do not support an estimate, no estimate is published. This is an educational research tool: it reports what the model computed and does not recommend buying or selling anything.

What assumptions are used to value GLAND PHARMA?

A cost of capital of 9.68%, growth drawn from the company's own record rather than from guidance, and the valuation method that fits the business. All of them are listed in the report, with how much each one moves the answer.